Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.052279 0.056756 0.061287 0.066210 0.071400 0.076702 0.082520
2025-03-30 0.045544 0.052130 0.059032 0.066776 0.075197 0.084049 0.094031
2025-04-06 0.039787 0.047798 0.056460 0.066458 0.077619 0.089635 0.103490
2025-04-13 0.036380 0.045609 0.055861 0.067983 0.081814 0.096997 0.114815
2025-04-20 0.032291 0.042230 0.053568 0.067286 0.083262 0.101115 0.122406
2025-04-27 0.029422 0.039995 0.052349 0.067604 0.085687 0.106207 0.131012
2025-05-04 0.027461 0.038658 0.052024 0.068826 0.089054 0.112307 0.140739
2025-05-11 0.026203 0.038061 0.052488 0.070908 0.093379 0.119498 0.151743
2025-05-18 0.022990 0.034755 0.049417 0.068502 0.092165 0.120040 0.154850
2025-05-25 0.021008 0.032898 0.048030 0.068057 0.093228 0.123213 0.161016
2025-06-01 0.019247 0.031209 0.046747 0.067641 0.094246 0.126273 0.167008
2025-06-08 0.018651 0.031060 0.047430 0.069707 0.098345 0.133086 0.177559
2025-06-15 0.017691 0.030375 0.047405 0.070892 0.101407 0.138740 0.186867
2025-06-22 0.016683 0.029556 0.047154 0.071749 0.104045 0.143887 0.195604
2025-06-29 0.015387 0.028233 0.046144 0.071546 0.105283 0.147275 0.202181
2025-07-06 0.014819 0.027952 0.046547 0.073218 0.108949 0.153723 0.212588
2025-07-13 0.013545 0.026510 0.045246 0.072517 0.109464 0.156163 0.217990
2025-07-20 0.012692 0.025661 0.044742 0.072867 0.111338 0.160317 0.225545
2025-07-27 0.012177 0.025314 0.044935 0.074163 0.114460 0.166073 0.235138
2025-08-03 0.011946 0.025410 0.045770 0.076359 0.118802 0.173425 0.246799
2025-08-10 0.010482 0.023360 0.043323 0.073828 0.116687 0.172364 0.247709
2025-08-17 0.009654 0.022325 0.042352 0.073360 0.117342 0.174882 0.253185
2025-08-24 0.008895 0.021353 0.041432 0.072923 0.118007 0.177395 0.258646